Tuesday 25th July 2017,
Dr Sport

Round 1 2013 : AFL Betting Line Analysis.

Round 1 Betting Lines, 2013 AFL Season.

AFL is back for 2013.

And hasn’t it been an interesting off season. We have had the usual club departures and off field movements – however this year we have had a drugs scandal that came as a shock to many, but not to most realists.

The early lines were cannibalised by the punters from the open, with some big moves taking place, and as is usual for AFL, some surprising results along with that.

As we do each AFL season, we plan to take a look at the opening and closing lines on a round by round basis, and in 2013 for some interest we will keep track of favourites vs dogs covering at the closing line, and whether market movers cover (knowing full well that this is a ‘catch-all’ approach as lines may move in response to numerous factors from injury to weight of betting etc).

Opening lines generally from www.sportsbet.com.au, closing lines from www.pinnaclesports.com or www.sportsbet.com.au as available just prior to the bounce. Side that covers shown in green.

Friday 22nd March

Open: Adelaide Crows -14.5 @ 1.92 vs Essendon Bombers +14.5 @ 1.92

Close: Adelaide Crows -13.5 @ 2.02 vs Essendon Bombers +13.5 @ 1.885

Saturday 23rd March

Open: Fremantle Dockers +4.5 @ 1.92 vs West Coast Eagles -4.5 @ 1.92

Close: Fremantle Dockers  -4.5 @ 1.952 vs West Coast Eagles +4.5 @ 1.952

Thursday 28th March

Open: Carlton Blues -4.5 @ 1.92 vs Richmond Tigers +4.5 @ 1.92

Close: Carlton Blues +1.5 @ 1.971 vs Richmond Tigers -1.5 @ 1.935

Saturday 30th March

Open: Western Bulldogs +12.5 @ 1.92 vs Brisbane Lions -12.5 @ 1.92

Close: Western Bulldogs +27.5 @ 1.926 vs Brisbane Lions -27.5 @ 1.98

Open: Greater Western Sydney Giants +42.5 @ 1.92 vs Sydney Swans -42.5 @ 1.92

Close: Greater Western Sydney Giants +54.5 @ 2.00 vs Sydney Swans -54.5 @ 1.909

Open: Gold Coast Suns +26.5 @ 1.92 vs St.Kilda Saints -26.5 @ 1.92

Close: Gold Coast Suns +19.5 @ 1.990 vs St.Kilda Saints -19.5 @ 1.917

Sunday 31st March

Open: Melbourne Demons -3.5 @ 1.92 vs Port Adelaide Power +3.5 @ 1.92

Close: Melbourne Demons 1.935 vs Port Adelaide Power 1.971

Open: North Melbourne Kangaroos +12.5 @ 1.92 vs Collingwood Magpies -12.5 @ 1.92

Close: North Melbourne Kangaroos +6.5 @ 1.926 vs Collingwood Magpies -6.5 @ 1.98

Monday 1st April

Open: Hawthorn Hawks -10.5 @ 1.92 vs Geelong Cats +10.5 @ 1.92

Close: Hawthorn Hawks -7.5 @ 1.885 vs Geelong Cats +7.5 @ 2.020

 

Closing Line Favourites : 3 – 6

Market movers : 6 – 3.

Home Teams /Away Teams : 4 – 5

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