Week 3 of the AFL finals was a cracker. The Adelaide game was a fantastic showcase of AFL, and although the sportsbetting didn’t go our way, it’s exciting to be wrapped up in another finals campaign.
Friday 21st September Sydney [$1.48, -10.5 @ 1.91] had the benefit of the home ground advantage, playing off against a Collingwood [$2.70, +10.5 @ 1.91] team that were hurting after the loss of John McCarthy earlier in the week. The Pies fought gallantly, but it wasn’t to be with Sydney running away eventual 26 point winners and securing their grand final spot. Goodes was fantastic, and importantly for Saturday, the Swans midfield was up and running, pushing to contests and giving the Pies little time and space up at the SCG.
Saturday 22nd September The second final at the MCG had Adelaide [$5.75, +37.5 @ 1.91] going down to the other Grand Finalist Hawthorn [$1.16, -37.5 @ 1.91] by a slim 5 points. Hawthorn were able to dominate the key stats, but conversion from their dominance of play and accuracy in from of goal cost them. Hawthorn had 26 more inside 50 entries and 21 more tackles than Adelaide, but butchered chances. This is also the reason they will win, and cover next week if they are able to convert a little more accurately. We took Adelaide in a speculative position, investing 10.5 units to win 50.
Favourites went 1 – 1 against the bookmaker’s handicap line. (Now 108 – 97 for the season).
Moneyline underdogs no wins.
At professionalgambler for finals week 3 we went 0 -1, -10.5 units. Our 2012 AFL only season record is now at 31-39, for -30 units.
Investing in sports betting markets daily when our systems say so: 2008: +176.5%, | 2009: +8.6%, | 2010: +46.85%, | 2011: +78.10% | 2012 : in progress |
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