Week 23 this year is the last before the finals. Hawthorn are storming, Geelong are threatening, Collingwood have the wobbles and our sportsbetting or more specifically our AFL betting has been frustrating, but still showing a positive return. We have a few games circled this week, and look to add units. A few games this week are important for structuring the finals outcome, and it will be interesting to see how these games play out. Hawthorn remain strong flag favourites, and if they can account for the West Coast Eagles they will only firm further.
Hawthorn look to consolidate the minor premiership with a win over the challenging West Coast Eagles. Bookmakers have the Hawks as -25.5 point sports betting favourites. Will be exciting for Hawthorn fans to see a basically full strength team in action on the ‘G on a Friday night. Some really good stats we will send in our email will illustrate why we think Franklin is going to have a good night and Hawks will be really hard to beat here. But the question is – are they value at the -25.5? We may have a little tickle.
Geelong will go in slight favourites against this Sydney team that is now missing Sam Reid, to be played down at Symonds Stadium. Geelong continue to firm up. Swannies faltering a bit lately get Jude Bolton back… Crucial man to have up and about going into finals. Hawkins has been marking everything. Must see game.
The Gold Coast Suns look to build on their excellent win last week of the Blues, heading over to Adelaide to face the Crows. The bookmakers have set a solid line here, and we will most likely leave this one alone. Although only playing Melbourne, the Crows looked particularly fierce with their attack on the ball last week and will loom strongly in September.
Another monster GWS line awaits punters in this GWS vs North Melbourne game. Laying -85.5 this late in the year with a team heading into finals would be a brave punter.
Reports were that a few punters had been speccing the 5.00 and better on the Bombers as they come up against the old foe in Collingwood heading into a finals series. Wouldn’t be the worst bet in the world, with the Pies losing their last two, and just getting over the top of Sydney and Collingwood prior to that. Essendon with nothing to lose in this last round could really show something. Will see how far effort will take them and their injury ravaged team.
Fremantle should be able to dish out a monster hiding to Melbourne over in Perth on Saturday. The bookmakers have already moved this line a few points since posting in on Monday, and further moves may still take place. Pavlich should start, but may not be fully fit. Melbourne showed little against Adelaide, and just don’t play well and move the ball almost randomly at times. If they are fair dinkum, Fremantle will cover this.
St. Kilda and Carlton in the last game of the year. Big line move and the bookmakers continue to wind Carlton in. When the AFL created this schedule, they may have imagined this game holding some interest due to its repercussions for finals. The interest however is in how Carlton will perform for Ratten in his final game. This game is no longer Carlton +7.5. Don’t have stats on post coach-axing performances… but given the line move – someone does.
Jack Riewoldt can sniff a Coleman medal – and you can be sure he has instructed the boys to single him out. He will know pre-game exactly how many he needs. Expecting a big Tigers win over Port who are a bit of a rabble at the moment. Have never had 100% confidence in the Tigers, but this will give the Richmond midfield their last chance to run wild for the year.
Brisbane with 10 wins for the year is a vast improvement on last year. Voss would be happy with that. In AFL betting they are strong favourites up at the Gabba to add their 10th win and finish off on a strong note. Would prefer to lay less than 30 odd here, so will likely pass. Still some work to be done on this game. Western Bulldogs travelling twice to finish the year.
Here’s hoping round 23 is kind to you.
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