“In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable” – Robert Arnott.
Working quite hard on this weeks AFL betting potentials, and have 3 circled for a possibility of 2/3 positions for the weekend. Finals are looming. Let’s look to the lines that sum up the sports betting market for round 21 AFL 2012 of Wednesday, August 15th. Very quickly this week…
Geelong look to claim a good scalp in St. Kilda at Etihad stadium, yet another Friday night game for the Cats. Just under 3 goal favourites. Would be surprised if an injured Riewoldt plays – or if he does play, has much of an impact.
Can Carlton produce some good quality football against the old foe in Essendon and get an important win? Judd comes back into the side, and Carlton still at least look hungry to win. Essendon have struggled lately for a win, but were more competitive these past two weeks.
GWS must be looking for round 23 at the moment. Tired, small nagging injuries and low on confidence after losing to Gold Coast last week, the bookmakers have the Giants already at +33.5 against what will be a spirited Dees outfit.
Fremantle will be the play here. This line will trim up to closer to Fremantle -20.5, if injuries/late changes don’t play a part. Can see lots of late Docker betting money here – some of it will be ours most likely.
The flying, versatile, confident Kangaroos against league powerhouse Collingwood at Etihad on Saturday night. Cannot wait to see this. This sports betting line will move to 20.5 soon. Betting should have a Kangaroo focus.
Gabba, where the lions are a 2-3 goal better team. They will need that help against a bigger, more skillful Crows team. Brisbane could start well but will really struggle to win, and possibly even cover – weather depending.
Port Power vs West Coast Eagles. Less than a 40 point line for this being at AAMI. Can power dig deep at home? They have wins over St. Kilda, North Melbourne, and Carlton at home in 2012. Matt Primus will choke on his cereal on Monday if they win this.
Bulldogs will not do well here. Sydney should cover this 49.5 by early 3rd quarter. Lot’s of good ins the dogs, so if they feel like making a game of it they will be more than able to. Problem is they have struggled to be competitive for a while now, and that can become a habit.
One of the biggest lines of 2012, and a real chance to be covered. The out of Gibson and Rioli both injured, will be filled by Roughead and Franlin coming in. Frightening this team.
All the best for your round 21 action.
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