“If I see one bloke walking out of this room getting a pat on the back I’ll spew up!” – Terry Wallace, old fashioned coaches spray (just because it’s funny).
Another reduced week, with 6 games on the card. Let’s take a look and see where the sports investment markets are sitting.
West Coast hosting the Carlton Blues over at Paterson’s. A tough ask. External pressure from media outlets saying Carlton’s season hinges on them winning one of the next four (now three) if they hope to play finals. A legitimate point. The fact they have rushed Carazzo back before the bye tells us how important he is, and how badly Carlton do want to put a W up. We will be taking either Carlton +points or Carlton at the moneyline here.
Round 12 2012 AFL, line captured Friday 15th June.
A big, menacing and fully engaged Adelaide Crows team will likely account for the Saints over there at AAMI, especially coming off the rest week. If the Saints big guns are firing however, they are a dead-set chance and it would be a danger game for the crows.
GWS have been competitive in patches under Kevin Sheedy this season. Will be worth noting how Richmond responds to last weeks upset loss to Fremantle. Laying a whopping 57.5 points in a game that looks like the weather may play a part means Richmond won’t be able to put a foot wrong if they are to cover.
A betting line of only +/-37.5 against Gold Coast shows how average the Kangaroos have been of late. North Melbourne haven’t covered a line for 7 matches in a row now. This is a should win, and a should cover. They are underperforming to be sure, and if this doesn’t fall their way, North supporters will be tearing up the membership cards en masse.
Initial thoughts are to take the points with the Lions here, assuming there is some rain around on Sunday. But against this Hawks side, there is still some work to be done to nail down any value there might be in this line market.
Western Bulldogs hosting Port Adelaide at Etihad. We wouldn’t talk you out of taking Port Adelaide as a road underdog on the basis of their renewed spirit and intensity. When they are playing well they can be more than capable. Prior to the flogging at the hands of the Swans, the ‘Dogs had covered at the spread the previous 4 times in a row.
The challenging year continues in AFL sports investment.
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