Monday 24th July 2017,
Dr Sport

Round 10 AFL 2012 in Review – Sportsbetting Markets and Sports Investment Results.

Friday 1st June  Going in to round 10 most thought this would be the match of the Round: Richmond [$2.00, +2.5 @ 1.91] vs St. Kilda [$1.80, -2.5 @ 1.91]  at Etihad Stadium. It proved to be a cracking game – rating up there as one of the best this year so far, and Richmond just finished off a little better than St. Kilda taking the win by 8 points. The markets opened with St. Kilda as a two point favourite, before moving to a “pick” (or even money). Late line at our sportsbook had the Tigers slight favourites at $1.877 and the Saints $2.030. We took a position early, and invested 21 to win 20 units on the Tigers.

Saturday 2nd June Laying plenty of points at home Geelong [$1.01, -80.5 @ 1.91] hosted GWS [$17.00, -80.5 @ 1.91]. Betting markets were thrown into confusion late with key omissions of Corey, Enright and Motlop from the Cats side that included 2 first gamers. GWS didn’t come to lie down and went into half time with the game locked up. Geelong were able to break away but we weren’t going to get covered – having invested 21.5 to win 20 units, laying the 81.5 points on Friday night. Final sports betting line in this clash had Geelong -76.5 @ 2.040 vs GWS +76.5 @ 1.87 on the back of those late omissions.

Saturday 2nd June The rout in Tasmania with Hawthorn [$1.25, -25.5 @ 1.91] destroying North Melbourne [$4.00,+25.5 @ 1.91] down in Launceston. The line opened at +/- 24.5pts and remained fairly stable – with punters betting into the late line of Hawks -25.5 @ 2.00 / +25.5 @ 1.909. Mr Franklin hammered home 13 goals 4 behinds, laughing at suggestions of inaccuracy.

Saturday 2nd June Adelaide Crows [$1.58, -9.5 @ 1.91] hung in to win, and cover, over Fremantle [$2.40, +9.5 @ 1.91] at Patersons Stadium. Having opened at +/-8.5 the market remained fairly stable showing a late line of +9.5 @ 1.952 Fremantle vs -9.5 @ 1.952 Adelaide at our preferred sportsbook. It was important to see Adelaide stand up over there in Perth – they are really travelling well this year as well as being their usual stubborn selves when playing at home.

Saturday 2nd June Carlton [$1.40, -17.5 @ 1.91] going over to face Port Adelaide [$3.00 +17.5 @ 1.91] looking for their third win in a row – did appear to be a difficult task on paper. It proved to be as much with Port enjoying an unlikely 54 point victory. This line opening at +/- 19.5 saw punters taking the points with Port Adelaide, a trend that continued until the bounce, with a final price +17.5 @ 1.87 Power vs -17.5 @ 2.04 Blues. We took the points with Port also, investing 21.5 to win 20 units.

Saturday 2nd June Another great game of round 10, Melbourne [$12.00, +55.5 @ 1.91] notched up their first win – and against flag fancy Essendon [$1.04, -55.5 @ 1.91] who moved out from below $10 to $12.50 in the premiers market on the back of this loss. We just pray nobody took the short $1.05 in the head to head market on a Bombers team that are probably due to drop a game or two. Early market of +/- 58.5 finished -54.5 @ 1.971 Bombers vs +54.5 @ 1.935 Demons at the bounce.

Sunday 3rd June In another upset for round 10 2012, Brisbane Lions [$4.90, +27.5 @ 1.91] matched it with the West Coast Eagles [$1.18, -27.5 @ 1.91] up at the Gabba, sneaking out a 2 point win. Lions had plenty of in-game momentum late, and rode it home for an upset. Nice fighting win. Market opened at +/- 30.5.

Sunday 3rd June Sydney Swans [$1.26, -21.5 @ 1.91] showed they are still right in season 2012, handing out a 92 point hiding to the Western Bulldogs [$3.95, +21.5 @ 1.91] up at the SCG. Sydney broke the Dogs heart with a 9.0 first quarter and they never got back into it. Early market was +/- 25.5 points, with punters taking the + points during the week, which was subsequently the incorrect side.

Sunday 3rd June The final match of the round saw Collingwood [$1.01, -69.5 @ 1.91] easily account for the Gold Coast Suns [$17.00, +69.5 @ 1.91] at the MCG by 97 points. This line opened at +/-60.5, but was all one way traffic to the final line of +/-69.5 @ 1.952, a move that was in the correct direction.

Favourites went 4 – 5 against the bookmaker’s handicap line. (Now 43 – 47 for the season).

Moneyline underdogs won straight up four times.

For the professionalgambler team in round 10, having three sports investments – we went 2-1 for +18.5 units, and taking our 2012 AFL only season record to 10-14, -46 units.

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