“Captain Snooze – Footy’s Dullest Gameplan” – Herald Sun, back page, Saturday June 2nd 2012.
Unbelievably, round 10 is already here. As of next week, we head into the bye weeks, where 6 of the 18 teams each week will enjoy a week off.
An interesting round of sports investment looms for Round 10, and we will look at the early prices and lines available. Interesting notes for this round include a petulant Ross Lyon facing yet more game-plan criticism, Hawthorn looking to right the ship (again) and the Friday night blockbuster between an improving Richmond and honest St. Kilda.
St. Kilda taking on Richmond at Etihad stadium – an old fashioned “pick” in sports betting parlance. This weeks over the top praise had Richmond’s midfield being labelled as the AFL’s best – which we should all take with a grain of salt. They do now have the class and polish they have been missing for quite a while, and bookies are not asking us to lay points in this spot – likely due to St. Kilda’s general dogfight mentality and recent ability to kick a decent score aided with inside 50 marks. Should be a cracker.
Cats host GWS down at an “in progress” Skilled Stadium. Geelong’s been dragging their feet this year, and faithful sports bettors have been disappointed in following them. Numbers are not as good as 2011, list has lost irreplaceable experience, and a 2-8 ATS record tells their sports investment story. Nevertheless, they are at home against GWS – this could be the win they need to build from.
Hawthorn are being called upon by the media (again) to prove themselves. Inconsistency has been their achillies heel, but will love facing North Melbourne at their second home down in Launceston. The Kangaroos need to show something before this season gets away from them. Sports betting mail says the Kangaroos won’t have many friends, so consult the weather and bet the Hawks sooner rather than later if you fancy them.
The Valium game plan against the physical Adelaide Crows. How will this one play out? Taylor Walker is back, and this will shape as a great spot for Adelaide to stamp themselves as a real contender, and for sports investment types to get a decent head to head price if you fancy them to continue their great away form.
Port Adelaide are trying to build momentum for a 3rd win in a row, and will be pleased to be returning home to do so. Averaging 82.4 points at home so far this year puts them in spot to at least have a claim on mounting a challenge. Laying 19.5 points on the Blues away from home will take a game punter on current form. See what this line does closer to game time.
The grand old flag has yet to fly high in 2012, and it couldn’t do so here against a red-hot Essendon… but one of these old rivals will eventually stir up the Dees, it’s just a matter of when? The +50 odd will come in for some interest if there is rain, despite the Dees being 1-3 when getting +50 points in games so far this season. Essendon are our favourite team to watch and review on video – exciting football. Watch the weather.
One of the premiership favourites West Coast, head up to the Gabba laying 30.5 points on a Sunday afternoon. Can’t see us putting any units in play here.
Without saying we have blacklisted the Swans, we will be more likely to look to invest units upon Adam Goodes’ return to the side. Nice to see the doggies playing with some grunt – they are looking for a sneaky avenue towards finals and will make hopefully make this a contest.
The Pies of 2011 would find this an easy cover. 2012 is a different story. Although the Collingwood cream is rising to the top of the betting markets now, they have undoubtedly started slower in 2012 and have a focus on managing the list, especially now with Heath Shaw out for this game with a calf complaint and young fullback Keeffe missing long term with a long term knee.
Follow along with late line movements / results on twitter https://twitter.com/progamblercomau