“A straw poll of our players suggested there was strong interest in reviving some form of State of Origin or a ‘best of’ scenario”. – Luke Ball, AFL players’ association meeting.
So, State of Origin rears its head again. The players want it, the fans want it, but the AFL and clubs themselves don’t. Premiership-threatening injuries are the risk of these games and the financial ramifications of that are too serious for clubs to agree to.
It’s a nice thought though. Like Monday night football – we are fans – are you?
But what we are here for is the round 7 opportunities, so let’s get at it:
You just haven’t known what Hawthorn you are going to get this year. 49.5 points would be an easy cover for them if they were on – you can see the uncertainty with their form built into this line. We are keen to lay the points, but not quite yet.
Small number for the Cats to lay heading over to AAMI. No doubt a danger game for Geelong, but we are not convinced with Adelaide just yet. Tippet and Walker are tough match-ups offensively.
One of these teams will capture their first win for 2012. This betting line is spot on… Would lean towards GWS plus points – can enthusiasm and desire for a first win get them within 23 points and compensate for a slightly (but only slightly) more experienced Gold Coast?
Sydney suffered an upset at the hands of Adelaide last week, and now head down to Melbourne minus Adam Goodes to battle a tenacious Tiger team. Early sports betting market can’t split them.
The match of the round. West Coast Eagles, still minus Natanui, are required at Etihad in the match of the round. Essendon will consider this their arrival if they can snatch this one. Fast and comfortable at the dome, you are laying -8.5 points.
Collingwood will come home with the four points, but are only just travelling. Brisbane need to find something before Voss finds himself down at Centrelink. +26 points is not enough here with the Lions we have seen so far in 2012… but if they show some heart it would be.
We do like North Melbourne here at professionalgambler.com.au – although an upset against Geelong is something we all respected, that may not be as impressive as it appeared at the time with the Cats not quite on their game yet. Would like a little bit of a better number on the ‘Dogs however before we took them in a “look to improve” spot.
Port Adelaide’s season, and Matthew Primus’ job are both quickly slipping away. Sitting 1-6 “against the spread”, they need to find something. Can see them falling short despite getting +32.5 points.
Carlton are travelling very well, 5-1 after 6 games with a loss to Essendon their only real hiccup thus far. Covering regularly and kicking away with a big margin when they do win. A real “go with” team at the moment. Laying 25.5 – the game being at Etihad the only concern, and the glowing praise we just heaped on them should see this as the kiss of death, and have them fail against the Saints 😉
All the best in round 7 for what is fast becoming a challenging season.
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