Round 6 was a week of football that lacked any real blockbuster games – with mostly strong teams all playing weaker teams. As a result there wasn’t really anything too enticing as far as a standout sports investments. We had planned to pass but ended up taking a couple of shots (essentially laying short favourites) as prices reached critical value. No real damage done.
Let’s review the weekend that was Round 6.
Friday May 4th Etidah stadium was the venue for Collingwood [$1.11, -38.5 @ 1.91] vs Western Bulldogs [$6.75, +38.5 @ 1.91]. Collingwood were able to get the job done in the end by 21 points, despite being down at the quarter time and leading by only a point at the 3/4 break. The line came in from 40.5 points earlier in the week.
Saturday May 5th, a rough day for the Brisbane Lions [$6.50, +35.5 @ 1.91], who just didn’t show up to play Essendon [$1.12, -35.5 @ 1.91 ] at Etihad Stadium. Earlier in the week we were looking at +29.5 and $5.80 about the Lions, we took a value spot on the Lions investing 10 to win 55 units moneyline, and 16 to win 15 units at +35.5. Lions should be well rested for next week 😉
Saturday May 5th Geelong [$1.04, -54.5 @ 1.91] hosted Melbourne [$12.00, +54.5 @ 1.91] down in Geelong. Opening at +/- 62.5 earlier in the week, this line was affected by the late withdrawal of Joel Selwood. Geelong won but in failing to cover the line are now 0-2 ATS at home. Mitch Clarke lively was cruicial in a Demons cover.
Saturday May 5th up at Metricon Stadium, Gold Coast [$7.50, +36.5 @ 1.91] took on Fremantle [$1.10, -36.5 @ 1.91] and went very close, only falling over late by 7 points. This was a 40 point line earlier in the week, and this line move covered easily.
Saturday May 5th, the busy Saturday continued with arguably the biggest game of the round in St. Kilda [$3.65, + 22.5 @ 1.91] hosting Hawthorn [$1.30, -22.5 @ 1.91] at the MCG. In it up until the final term, our position of 15 to win 40 units on the Saints fell off rails late in the game. Line movement not significant on this match up having been +/-24.5 earlier in the week.
Saturday May 5th the last game on a busy Saturday was Sydney [$1.27, -24.5 @ 1.91] playing host to Adelaide [$3.90, +24.5 @ 1.91] up at the SCG in the upset of the round. The line barely moved throughout the week here, and Sydney now 4-2 ATS for 2012. A late Goodes injury will be telling.
Sunday May 6th Carlton [$1.01 -85.5 @ 1.91] hosted GWS [$26.00, +85.5 @ 1.91] at Etihad Stadium and eventually pulled away for the expected comfortable win. Resting Chris Judd, Carlton played some sloppy football, and were probably flattered by the final result.
Sunday May 6th Port Adelaide [$2.1, +4.5 @ 1.91] welcomed Richmond [$1.75, -4.5 @ 1.91] and the line finished +/- 6.5 with some late Tigers support. Richmond romped away and secured a big win and finally got their second season win.
Sunday May 6th, West Coast [$1.28, -23.5 @ 1.91] had a late withdrawal in Natanui, but were still able to finish strong and get the cover over North Melbourne [$3.80, +23.5 @ 1.91] at home in WA. Line crushed in to +/-17.5 after Natanui withdrawal. Those who layed -23.5 on the Eagles during the week would’ve felt dudded.
Favourites went 4 – 5 against the bookmakers handicap line. (Now 24 – 30 for the season).
Moneyline underdogs won straight up once.
For the professionalgambler team after round 6, we went 0-3 for -41 units, and taking our 2012 AFL season record to 6-7, +5 units.
Looking forward to taking a few units back in Round 7.
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