“Only he would know what’s going on in his head” – Brian Taylor, 7 Network football coverage.
Round 4 is here, and came in a hurry, so much so that this post will have market prices and a few concise thoughts about sports investment. We will move through them and give ourselves more time to find the most favourable spots to invest.
Round 4 early prices:
Ross Lyon takes his Fremantle side, minus forward/mid-fielder Nathan Fyfe, over to do battle against his old outfit St. Kilda. 3.10 seems juicy for a well coached Fremantle team. See what this line does later in the week.
This is a match up we are watching. The -39.5 posted here already represents a significant firming of the Blues since the initial line release on Monday. We wait on this line and team information, and will likely have an official position for professionalgambler.com.au members on game day. Blues very short, but also very good.
Collingwood are keen to put behind them a rough week full of public slanging matches, media criticisms, and allegations of infighting between the players – and no doubt look forward to taking on Port Power as heavy favourites and getting back into the winners circle. This line subsequently dropped to -28.5 on news of two late but key injuries to Dale Thomas and Heath Shaw.
We saw a line of GWS +86.5 @ 1.952 and Adelaide -86.5 @ 1.952 on Saturday, but in truth, we all but immediately dismissed this game as a sports investment opportunity. Either taking or laying better part of 100 points around a team in their first season is not a spot your would place yourself in if you could avoid it. Which you can by not wagering.
The spiteful Q-Clash is here again. This time there is not too much splitting the teams, with the underdog Suns only getting +15.5 points early in the week – but steadily easing by the time of writing (Saturday Afternoon).
A game I am eagerly looking forward to… A good quality team travelling to WA to face an Eagles outfit desperately in need of a quality hit-out on their home ground. This line has drifted quite a bit with West Coast support at the time of writing. Will likely enjoy the game, but not invest.
Cats get their first crack at Skilled Stadium tomorrow afternoon, and are no longer laying 34.5, with Geelong laying -32.5 at the time of writing. Richmond are Richmond, but will they need more than 32.5 points head start?
Something about this smells of the first draw of the year. Will have to take that if I get a good price (100 +) for it We don’t naturally target Sydney games, especially with the key suspension of Adam Goodes throwing some unexpected dynamics onto the table.
The two of the weaker teams for 2012 are facing off in the twilight clash at the MCG. Not keen for us to invest here, but the line still showing +/- 19.5 so no late money to follow/fade as yet.
So that’s early Round 4 prices for you to snack on. Good luck in your sports investments.